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Free CS:GO Weapon Case 3 opening simulator: $14.71 open cost, $9.16 EV, -37.71% Unbox ROI, 77 drops across 4 rarities. Test odds, history and win rate without spending keys. Updated June 3, 2026. Research and entertainment only.
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CS:GO Weapon Case 3
Simulate CS:GO Weapon Case 3 opens at $14.71 ($12.22 case + $2.49 key) without spending real money. Compare runs to $9.16 EV and -37.71% Unbox ROI from the Details tab.
The CS:GO Weapon Case 3 simulator rolls 77 outcomes across 4 rarities at $14.71 per open, tracking session win rate against $9.16 EV.
Sessions deviate from $9.16 EV and 13.64% profit chance — that variance is the point. Lucky sims do not prove $14.71 opens are +EV.
Hold CS:GO Weapon Case 3 at $12.22 with 0.00% Investing ROI on Details; simulate opens at -37.71% Unbox ROI here — different intents.
CSProfit models CS:GO Weapon Case 3 at $9.16 EV — faster than real opens, not a profit promise.
It rolls 77 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 drops using the same weights as Details, values each hit at current prices and charges $14.71 per simulated open against $9.16 EV.
★ Bayonet | Fade is 0.00% (about 1 in 25000). ★ Karambit | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Night lead average value; common tiers dominate the 77-item pool across 4 rarities.
Yes — virtual opens use the $14.71 modeled cost ($12.22 + $2.49) without charging your Steam wallet.
Detail EV is $9.16 (-$5.55 vs $14.71 open). Individual sims often land below that because commons dominate 13.64% profit chance.
It uses CSProfit's 77-item probability table for CS:GO Weapon Case 3 (updated June 3, 2026). It models randomness but is not Valve's server-side roll.
Modeled exp. profit is -$5.55 on $14.71 opens with -37.71% Unbox ROI. Most single opens still return items worth less than cost.
Click Open Once ($14.71 modeled) or Quick Sim for bulk runs. Compare history to $9.16 EV and 13.64% win benchmark.
You can hit ★ Karambit | Crimson Web ($4,561.00 avg.) in sim, but 0.00% rare drops remain unlikely. Session wins ≠ -37.71% long-run ROI.
Run 50+ Quick Sims, chart rarity distribution and compare win rate to 13.64% and EV to $9.16 — one lucky streak is noise.
The web tool is free. Real CS:GO Weapon Case 3 opens still cost $14.71 (USD) on Steam if you choose to open for real.