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Falchion Case is $1.48 unopened plus $2.49 per key ($3.97 total, USD). Expected value is $2.13 (-$1.84 vs opening cost), Unbox ROI -46.41%, Investing ROI 0.00%, Profit 8.06%. 29 items across 4 rarities. Updated June 3, 2026. Research only, not financial advice.
Last updated:
$1.48
$2.13
-46.41%
0.00%
8.06%
29
Rarity, price and probability breakdown for every possible drop.
Rare Special Item
Avg Price
$224.73
covert
Avg Price
$97.75
classified
Avg Price
$15.26
restricted
Avg Price
$5.52
milspec
Avg Price
$2.01
The Falchion Case Details view shows live metrics — $3.97 opening cost, $2.13 EV, -46.41% Unbox ROI — plus 29 contents. The /simulator route uses the same slug for random runs.
The Details view for Falchion Case consolidates $3.97 opening cost, $2.13 expected value, -46.41% Unbox ROI and 29 drops before you switch to the Simulator.
Falchion Case lists 29 outcomes across 4 rarity tiers. Top average-value drops include ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web, ★ Falchion Knife | Night, ★ Falchion Knife | Fade; ★ Falchion Knife | Fade is the rarest at 0.02%.
Opening and holding Falchion Case are different bets. Unbox ROI is -46.41% while Investing ROI is 0.00% as of June 3, 2026.
Falchion Case (case) prices and odds move with the market. Current modeled exp. profit is -$1.84 on a $3.97 open — research context only.
As of June 3, 2026, Falchion Case trades at $1.48 unopened with 0.00% Investing ROI and -46.41% Unbox ROI. Holding can differ sharply from opening at $3.97 — compare both paths before committing capital.
Falchion Case expected value is $2.13 (USD), derived from 29 weighted drops. That is -$1.84 versus the $3.97 opening cost on data updated June 3, 2026.
Unbox ROI for Falchion Case is -46.41% (opening at $3.97). Investing ROI is 0.00% (holding at $1.48). A higher number in one column does not validate the other.
Falchion Case contains 29 items across 4 rarity tiers. Highest average-value drops include ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web, ★ Falchion Knife | Night, ★ Falchion Knife | Fade; ★ Falchion Knife | Fade is the rarest at 0.02%.
The Falchion Case pool spans 29 outcomes in 4 groups. ★ Falchion Knife | Fade sits at 0.02% (about 1 in 5000), while common tiers carry most of the probability mass.
As of June 3, 2026, Falchion Case is $1.48 unopened (USD). Keys add $2.49, so one open costs $3.97 before any outcome.
Opening costs $3.97 with -46.41% Unbox ROI and 8.06% profit chance. Holding tracks 0.00% Investing ROI at $1.48. Pick the path that matches your risk tolerance.
In 2026 data updated June 3, 2026, Falchion Case shows 0.00% Investing ROI at $1.48 and -$1.84 modeled exp. profit on opens. Supply, fees and spread still decide real outcomes.
An unopened Falchion Case is worth $1.48 (USD) in CSProfit's current feed. Expected return from opening is $2.13, not the case price itself.
One key for Falchion Case is $2.49 (USD). Combined with the $1.48 case, total opening cost is $3.97 as of June 3, 2026.
Modeled exp. profit is -$1.84 on a $3.97 open, with 8.06% chance to beat cost. Most individual opens still land on common items below $2.13.
Falchion Case currently posts -46.41% Unbox ROI and 0.00% Investing ROI. Compare other cases on CSProfit using the same June 3, 2026 window and USD cost basis.
CSProfit tracks Falchion Case as type case with 29 listed drops. Drop status can change with Valve supply — verify live game drops separately from these June 3, 2026 market metrics.
If you want ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web ($896.38 avg.), buying it directly avoids paying $3.97 for a 0.02% shot at ★ Falchion Knife | Fade. Opening remains random entertainment.
You pay $3.97 for a random outcome where 8.06% of modeled opens beat cost. Legal classification varies by country; CSProfit only reports $2.13 EV and odds.