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Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is $4.86 unopened plus $2.49 per key ($7.35 total, USD). Expected value is $4.56 (-$2.79 vs opening cost), Unbox ROI -37.92%, Investing ROI 0.00%, Profit 8.45%. 79 items across 4 rarities. Updated June 3, 2026. Research only, not financial advice.
Last updated:
$4.86
$4.56
-37.92%
0.00%
8.45%
79
Rarity, price and probability breakdown for every possible drop.
Rare Special Item
Avg Price
$483.64
covert
Avg Price
$183.62
classified
Avg Price
$22.90
restricted
Avg Price
$14.68
milspec
Avg Price
$3.05
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case Details view shows live metrics — $7.35 opening cost, $4.56 EV, -37.92% Unbox ROI — plus 79 contents. The /simulator route uses the same slug for random runs.
The Details view for Operation Vanguard Weapon Case consolidates $7.35 opening cost, $4.56 expected value, -37.92% Unbox ROI and 79 drops before you switch to the Simulator.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case lists 79 outcomes across 4 rarity tiers. Top average-value drops include ★ Karambit | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Night; ★ Bayonet | Fade is the rarest at 0.00%.
Opening and holding Operation Vanguard Weapon Case are different bets. Unbox ROI is -37.92% while Investing ROI is 0.00% as of June 3, 2026.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case (case) prices and odds move with the market. Current modeled exp. profit is -$2.79 on a $7.35 open — research context only.
As of June 3, 2026, Operation Vanguard Weapon Case trades at $4.86 unopened with 0.00% Investing ROI and -37.92% Unbox ROI. Holding can differ sharply from opening at $7.35 — compare both paths before committing capital.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case expected value is $4.56 (USD), derived from 79 weighted drops. That is -$2.79 versus the $7.35 opening cost on data updated June 3, 2026.
Unbox ROI for Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is -37.92% (opening at $7.35). Investing ROI is 0.00% (holding at $4.86). A higher number in one column does not validate the other.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case contains 79 items across 4 rarity tiers. Highest average-value drops include ★ Karambit | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Night; ★ Bayonet | Fade is the rarest at 0.00%.
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case pool spans 79 outcomes in 4 groups. ★ Bayonet | Fade sits at 0.00% (about 1 in 25000), while common tiers carry most of the probability mass.
As of June 3, 2026, Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is $4.86 unopened (USD). Keys add $2.49, so one open costs $7.35 before any outcome.
Opening costs $7.35 with -37.92% Unbox ROI and 8.45% profit chance. Holding tracks 0.00% Investing ROI at $4.86. Pick the path that matches your risk tolerance.
In 2026 data updated June 3, 2026, Operation Vanguard Weapon Case shows 0.00% Investing ROI at $4.86 and -$2.79 modeled exp. profit on opens. Supply, fees and spread still decide real outcomes.
An unopened Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is worth $4.86 (USD) in CSProfit's current feed. Expected return from opening is $4.56, not the case price itself.
One key for Operation Vanguard Weapon Case is $2.49 (USD). Combined with the $4.86 case, total opening cost is $7.35 as of June 3, 2026.
Modeled exp. profit is -$2.79 on a $7.35 open, with 8.45% chance to beat cost. Most individual opens still land on common items below $4.56.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case currently posts -37.92% Unbox ROI and 0.00% Investing ROI. Compare other cases on CSProfit using the same June 3, 2026 window and USD cost basis.
CSProfit tracks Operation Vanguard Weapon Case as type case with 79 listed drops. Drop status can change with Valve supply — verify live game drops separately from these June 3, 2026 market metrics.
If you want ★ Karambit | Crimson Web ($4,561.00 avg.), buying it directly avoids paying $7.35 for a 0.00% shot at ★ Bayonet | Fade. Opening remains random entertainment.
You pay $7.35 for a random outcome where 8.45% of modeled opens beat cost. Legal classification varies by country; CSProfit only reports $4.56 EV and odds.