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CS2 Case Detail

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Shadow Case CS2 Case Price, Odds and ROI Research

Review Shadow Case case price, key cost, opening odds, total opening cost, expected value, expected profit/loss, profit chance, Unbox ROI, Investing ROI and full contents data in one research view.

DetailsSimulator
Shadow Case
caseLast updated 7/19/2026

Shadow Case

Case price

$1.57

Expected Value

$2.33

Unbox ROI

-42.56%

Investing ROI

1.83%

Profit Chance

8.95%

Items

29

Contents

Rarity, price and probability breakdown for every possible outcome.

8.7%
1 in 384.62

Rare Special Item

Avg. price

$148.30

23.8%
1 in 156.40

covert

Avg. price

$165.61

23.3%
1 in 31.28

classified

Avg. price

$32.40

19.9%
1 in 6.26

restricted

Avg. price

$5.55

24.3%
1 in 1.25

milspec

Avg. price

$1.35

Larger items reflect higher average value.
CS2 case ROI trackerCS2 Armory ROI trackerCS2 trade-up calculatorCS2 market prices

Shadow Case CS2 Case Price, Odds and ROI Research

Review Shadow Case case price, key cost, opening odds, total opening cost, expected value, expected profit/loss, profit chance, Unbox ROI, Investing ROI and full contents data in one research view.

Shadow Case detail summary

The detail view brings Shadow Case cost, EV, ROI, profit chance and contents together before you test short-run variance in the simulator.

Shadow Case opening cost

Opening cost combines the unopened case price and key cost. Read total cost before judging EV or Unbox ROI.

Shadow Case contents table

The contents view lists possible drops with rarity, average price and probability so rare outcomes do not hide common-result risk.

Shadow Case ROI context

Unbox ROI describes the opening model. Investing ROI describes the unopened case as a market item. They should be read separately.

What the Shadow Case case detail page shows

This page focuses on one case instead of a list. It connects price, key cost, EV, profit chance, contents and update timing so the research is specific to Shadow Case.

  • •Case price: $1.57.
  • •Key cost: $2.49.
  • •Total opening cost: $4.06.
  • •Expected value: $2.33.
  • •Data updated: July 19, 2026.

How to read Shadow Case contents

Case contents should be read by probability and value together. Expensive outputs can dominate expected value while still being rare.

  • •Top average-value outcomes: ★ Shadow Daggers | Night, ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade, USP-S | Kill Confirmed.
  • •Rarest tracked item: ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade.
  • •Rarest chance: 0.02% or about 1 in 5000.
  • •Common outcomes matter more than highlight outcomes for real sessions.

Knives, gloves and rare drops in Shadow Case

Case research often starts with knife or glove questions. Use the contents table to see which Gold-tier outcomes exist in Shadow Case, how rare they are, and how much they move expected value.

  • •Check rarest item: ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade at about 0.02%.
  • •Top average-value outcomes: ★ Shadow Daggers | Night, ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade, USP-S | Kill Confirmed.
  • •Knife and glove odds stay low even when EV looks attractive.
  • •Compare drop pool size before copying a social trade-up idea.

When to use the Shadow Case simulator

The simulator helps visualize variance, but Details remains the source for long-run EV and contents context.

  • •Use Details for costs, EV and contents.
  • •Use Simulator for virtual sessions.
  • •Do not treat a lucky simulation as proof of real opening profit.
  • •Do not chase losses after simulated or real openings.

How Shadow Case research reflects current market prices

Expected value and ROI for Shadow Case depend on the marketplace data CS Profit pulls from. When major skins move, the Shadow Case research columns update on the next refresh cycle, so researchers should re-check the case before any action.

  • •Top skin values come from community marketplace listings
  • •Knife and glove averages depend on float, paint seed and pattern
  • •Sticker prices can shift independently of base item prices
  • •The last-updated timestamp shows the data freshness
  • •Refresh after operation updates for the most accurate read

Common Shadow Case research pitfalls to avoid

Single-session outcomes do not represent long-run expectation. CS Profit's Shadow Case page separates EV, profit chance and the contents table so researchers can avoid common mistakes like chasing losses or assuming a recent pull proves an edge.

  • •Do not treat a single pull as proof of a strategy
  • •Do not chase losses by raising cost on the next case
  • •Do not ignore the contents table when EV looks high
  • •Do not assume knives or gloves are the only high-value drops
  • •Re-check the page after Valve updates the drop pool

Other CS2 cases commonly researched alongside Shadow Case

CS2 case research usually moves across multiple cases at once. Popular cases like the Fracture Case, Fever Case, Revolution Case, Dreams and Nightmares Case, Snakebite Case, Kilowatt Case, Clutch Case and Spectrum Case are frequently tracked next to Shadow Case for expected value, drop pool and ROI comparison. The same data-driven research approach applies to Shadow Case as to the rest of the CS2 case ecosystem.

  • •Fracture Case and Fever Case are common EV comparison anchors
  • •Revolution Case and Dreams and Nightmares Case are common long-hold references
  • •Snakebite Case, Kilowatt Case and Clutch Case are common active-case benchmarks
  • •Spectrum Case is a common knife and glove pool reference
  • •Use the Cases page to compare Shadow Case against the rest of the ecosystem

Shadow Case CS2 Case Price, Odds and ROI Research FAQ

What is Shadow Case expected value?

It is a modeled average output value based on Shadow Case drop odds and current market reference prices.

What does Shadow Case Unbox ROI mean?

It compares modeled opening value with total opening cost. It is an estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.

What does Shadow Case Investing ROI mean?

It tracks holding logic for the unopened case and should not be mixed with opening ROI.

Are Shadow Case contents guaranteed?

No. Contents show the possible drop pool and probabilities; real openings are random.

How often is Shadow Case data refreshed?

CS Profit refreshes case data on a regular schedule. The last-updated timestamp on the page shows when the numbers were last pulled from the marketplace.

Is opening Shadow Case a good way to get a specific skin?

It depends on the skin's market price relative to opening cost. Buying the skin directly is often cleaner than relying on a random drop.

How does Shadow Case compare to Fracture Case or Fever Case?

The Cases page lists Fracture Case, Fever Case, Revolution Case, Dreams and Nightmares Case, Snakebite Case, Kilowatt Case, Clutch Case, Spectrum Case and Shadow Case side by side for expected value, opening cost, profit chance and ROI.

Are Fracture Case and Fever Case related to Shadow Case?

They share the same CS2 case research methodology but have different drop pools, knife and glove exposure, supply status and marketplace price. CS Profit's tracker treats each case as its own data row.