CS2 ROI Research Table

Last updated: September 6, 2026

CS2 ROI Tracker for Cases and Armory Rewards

Compare cases and Armory rewards by entry cost, expected value, expected profit, profit chance, Unbox ROI and Investing ROI. Treat every number as research context, not a profit promise.

All Cases Armory

#	Item	Entry Cost	Expected Value	Exp. Profit	Profit Chance	Unbox ROI	Investing ROI
21	Operation Vanguard Weapon CaseCase	$7.34incl. key $2.49	$4.18	-$3.16	+9.45%	-42.99%	-4.46%
22	Fever CaseCase	$3.04incl. key $2.49	$1.70	-$1.34	+4.72%	-44.16%	-4.63%
23	Operation Wildfire CaseCase	$5.35incl. key $2.49	$2.95	-$2.40	+8.00%	-44.87%	-6.67%
24	Dr Boom Charm CollectionArmory	$0.963	$0.52	-$0.44	+3.85%	-45.58%	-5.02%
25	2025 Community Sticker CollectionArmory	$0.321	$0.17	-$0.15	+9.86%	-46.39%	-4.70%
26	Glove CaseCase	$13.50incl. key $2.49	$7.23	-$6.27	+6.90%	-46.45%	-1.64%
27	eSports 2014 Summer CaseCase	$14.10incl. key $2.49	$7.19	-$6.91	+14.38%	-48.99%	-6.23%
28	Desert Eagle \| Heat TreatedArmory	$8.0025	$4.02	-$3.98	+7.00%	-49.69%	-13.82%
29	Horizon CaseCase	$3.92incl. key $2.49	$1.95	-$1.97	+8.22%	-50.17%	-3.77%
30	Operation Hydra CaseCase	$31.41incl. key $2.49	$15.62	-$15.79	+7.41%	-50.26%	-3.20%
31	Shadow CaseCase	$4.16incl. key $2.49	$2.06	-$2.10	+8.95%	-50.43%	-4.53%
32	Revolver CaseCase	$5.03incl. key $2.49	$2.35	-$2.68	+5.11%	-53.37%	-2.28%
33	The Spy Tech CollectionArmory	$1.284	$0.60	-$0.68	+5.09%	-53.40%	-5.32%
34	Operation Broken Fang CaseCase	$7.90incl. key $2.49	$3.66	-$4.24	+7.05%	-53.68%	-3.95%
35	Winter Offensive Weapon CaseCase	$11.33incl. key $2.49	$5.25	-$6.08	+4.55%	-53.71%	-4.81%
36	Operation Phoenix Weapon CaseCase	$5.91incl. key $2.49	$2.74	-$3.17	+5.39%	-53.72%	-4.37%
37	The Sport & Field CollectionArmory	$1.284	$0.59	-$0.69	+4.66%	-54.06%	-6.67%
38	Falchion CaseCase	$4.03incl. key $2.49	$1.84	-$2.19	+6.91%	-54.24%	-4.95%
39	Operation Riptide CaseCase	$11.07incl. key $2.49	$5.02	-$6.05	+6.87%	-54.65%	-3.26%
40	Shattered Web CaseCase	$6.69incl. key $2.49	$3.01	-$3.68	+6.72%	-55.06%	-3.01%

CS2 ROI Tracker for Cases and Armory Rewards

Compare cases and Armory rewards by entry cost, expected value, expected profit, profit chance, Unbox ROI and Investing ROI. Treat every number as research context, not a profit promise.

CS2 ROI tracker

A research table for comparing cases and Armory rewards by cost, EV, expected profit, profit chance and ROI metrics.

Unbox ROI

Unbox ROI estimates the opening or redemption path using cost, odds and modeled outcome values.

Investing ROI

Investing ROI compares market movement for holding an unopened case or held reward, separate from opening math.

Risk context

CS2 items are speculative digital collectibles affected by liquidity, fees, supply and Valve-controlled updates.

Separate opening, redemption and holding logic

A case, an Armory reward and a held market item can all show ROI, but they do not share the same risk. The table keeps those paths visible instead of collapsing them into one misleading score.

Use Unbox ROI for opening and redemption models.
Use Investing ROI for market-hold performance.
Read profit chance beside expected profit.
Check item type before comparing two rows.

Why entry cost comes first

A high percentage is useless without cost basis. Entry Cost shows what the opportunity requires before expected value or profit chance can mean anything.

Case opening includes unopened case price plus key cost.
Armory rewards use star or credit-equivalent cost basis.
Fees, spreads and liquidity can reduce apparent upside.
Low-cost rows can look volatile even when the absolute value is small.

Cases and Armory rewards use different supply mechanics

Cases depend on drop status, key demand, opening demand and rare-special pools. Armory rewards depend on pass activity, credits, redemption behavior, availability windows and marketability.

Do not compare case ROI and Armory ROI without reading type context.
Limited or rotating rewards need extra supply review.
Popular cases can be liquid but still poor to open.
Armory rewards can be strong visually while weak on redemption math.

How CS2 case expected value (EV) drives ROI research

Expected value is the probability-weighted average of all possible outcomes from a CS2 case opening. CS Profit's tracker uses EV as the baseline for comparing cases side by side on a consistent cost basis, then layers in liquidity and risk context for a complete research view.

Multiply each item's market price by its drop probability
Sum the weighted values to get the case's expected value
Compare EV to entry cost to derive the unbox ROI percentage
Refresh EV when marketplace prices shift significantly
EV is a research signal, not a profit guarantee

Why CS2 case prices shift and how to research them

Case prices move with supply, drop demand, key cost and rare-item pull. CS Profit's dataset refreshes regularly so the EV and ROI columns reflect current marketplace levels, with the last-updated timestamp visible in the table.

Supply grows as more cases are opened
Key price changes affect entry cost directly
Knife or glove drops create scarcity premium
Operation updates and rotations reset the supply cycle
Liquidity depth affects whether EV can be realized

Building a CS2 case research workflow

Combining entry cost, expected value, profit chance and liquidity gives a more complete picture than any single column. CS Profit's research view keeps these metrics side by side so researchers can repeat the same workflow each time.

Filter by item type to separate cases from armory rewards
Sort by profit chance when risk tolerance is lower
Check liquidity context before assuming exit value
Re-evaluate after Valve updates or rotation events
Document your own research rules for consistency

CS2 ROI Tracker for Cases and Armory Rewards FAQ

What is the CS2 ROI tracker?

It is a research table that compares cases and Armory rewards by entry cost, expected value, expected profit, profit chance, Unbox ROI and Investing ROI.

Is Unbox ROI the same as Investing ROI?

No. Unbox ROI estimates opening or redemption math, while Investing ROI measures market movement while holding the item.

Are CS2 items low-risk investments?

No. CS2 items are speculative digital collectibles and can lose value because of updates, supply, demand, fees and liquidity.

Does CS Profit recommend what to buy?

No. CS Profit compares data for research and does not recommend purchases, trades or investments.

How is CS2 case ROI calculated?

ROI is the ratio of a case's expected value to its entry cost. CS Profit calculates expected value by weighting each possible skin outcome by its drop probability and current market price.

Which CS2 cases have the best ROI?

ROI rankings change as marketplace prices shift. CS Profit's case ROI table refreshes from current data, so no single case holds the top position across all conditions.

How often does CS Profit update case ROI data?

The CS Profit dataset refreshes from the marketplace on a regular schedule. Researchers can see the last-updated timestamp in the table and re-check rows after major marketplace moves.

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